Monday, February 26, 2007

Quebec Election 2007- Early Projections

The wonderful people over at DemocraticSPACE, which is one of the best political blogs out there, have made some early projections for the results of the upcoming Quebec national election. They are currently projecting a minority PQ government with 61 seats, with the Parti Liberal at 51 seats and the ADQ at 13 seats. This leaves the neo-conservative ADQ is the king maker, and I see a Liberal/ADQ alliance more likely than a PQ/ADQ alliance. The later, even if it were to occur, would just be right-wing nationalism, which is of course slightly better than right-wing federalism,but still something I'd rather not have to think about. However, both sides are playing on the wrong wing to begin with.

As I've said before, the best case is a PQ minority supported by Quebec Solidaire. With that as an unlikely result, I'll settle for a PQ majority. At least groggy social democratic nationalism (and that' s the PQ at its absolute best) is better than right-wing nationalism. The PQ certainly has been affected by the right-wing paradigm shift, and if it weren't for the rank-and-file commitment of trade unionists and other progressive minded nationalists, I'd hate to think where that party would be. Well, to some degree we've already seen where it would be, and it seems like a scary place. Perhaps in a sovereign Quebec a true left-wing party will emerge when the national question has been answered. In the meantime, Quebec Solidaire remains the overall best option for this March's election.

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