Things are looking all right for the Ontario NDP, whose support level of 26% is as high as its been since their time in office in the early 1990s. This figure represents an increase of 15% since the 2003 election, which has come almost exclusively from bleeding Liberal support. The Liberals have lost 18% support and is currently running second in popular support to the Tories.
However, before these results can be fully contextualized, a geographical breakdown of region is necessary. Sadly, this survey doesn't provide it. While Ontario is often viewed as a three-party system, it is more appropriate to view the province as a series of two party races, which leads to an aggregate three-party competition. For example, the ONDP should be expected to do well in the North, in Hamilton, and in parts of downtown Toronto. These are all areas in which they currently have seats. However, in order for the party to make a significant breakthrough, they'll need to gain support in the 905 belt, eastern Ontario, and other areas which feature Liberal-Conservative support.
Regardless, geographical divisions aside, these results bode well for NDP supporters.
Thanks to Uncorrected Proofs for providing this link
No comments:
Post a Comment